Shanahan goes into the 2011 season 15th on the list with 152 career wins. He needs just three more to pass legendary Redskins coach Joe Gibbs, who is 14th with 154 wins in his two stints as the Redskins coach.
If the Redskins get to seven wins, Shanahan will pass Vikings coach Bud Grant and move into 13th place. A 10-win season would give Shanahan 162 for his career and will move Shanahan past former Packers and Seahawks coach Mike Holmgren into 12th.
Bill Belichick currently ranks 11th on the list with 162 and it is safe to assume that he will win enough games this year to stay ahead of Shanahan. In fact, an 11-win season would move Belichick past former mentor Bill Parcells and into the top 10 of all time.
The top 10 certainly is a reachable goal for Shanahan if he coaches the remaining four years on his contract. He will either have to catch Belichick or, more likely, Chuck Knox, who currently is ninth with 186 wins. Shanahan would have to average about nine wins a year for the next four years to pass Knox.
If Shanahan maintains his winning percentage of .585 (about nine wins a year) he would have the third worst winning percentage of the coaches in the top 10. Only Dan Reeves (.535), Shanahan’s former boss when both were with the Broncos, and Chuck Noll (.566) would have lower percentages.
Six of the current top 10 coaches are in the Pro Football Hall of Fame and it seems that it is only a matter of time before Parcells gets in. That would leave Reeves, Knox, and Marty Schottenheimer as those on the outside of the Hall looking in.
None of those three coaches has won a Super Bowl while Shanahan has two to his credit. A place in the top 10 in wins and two championships would give Shanahan a very good chance at eventual enshrinement in Canton.