As long as we’re talking about Robert Griffin III being “on pace” to run the ball 160 times for 1008 yards this year, let’s look at what a few other Redskins skill players are on pace to do.
RB Alfred Morris—352 carries for 1482 yards and 16 touchdowns. He could be on a pace to score more touchdowns but RG3 played touchdown vulture on Sunday after Morris had carried the team well into the red zone.
TE Fred Davis—32 receptions for 408 yards and no TD’s. Davis is just as unlikely to keep up this slow pace as Morris is to keep up his fast start. He’s due for 8 receptions for 95 yards and a TD sometime soon.
WR Josh Morgan—48 receptions for 568 yards and no touchdowns. After a one-catch debut in New Orleans, Morgan became Griffin’s favorite target against the Rams with five receptions for 50 yards.
WR Aldrick Robinson—48 receptions for 736 yards and 8 touchdowns. This would give him a year similar to Anthony Armstrong’s 2010 season (44/871/3) only with more touchdowns. Of course, if only he had managed to hold on to the long RG3 pass that bounced off of his arms and shoulder pads on Sunday he would be on a much gaudier pace.
WR Pierre Garçon—A projection dilemma here since he missed the Rams game. Do we take his two-game numbers and multiply them by 8 as we have with the other players? That would yield a line of 32/872/8. Or we could just throw out the game he missed, figure he’ll miss one more along the way and multiply his one game by 14 to get 56/1512/14. His actual performance is likely to fall somewhere in between.
I think that you can see that projecting numbers based on two games is mostly folly. In almost every case, the players here will have season numbers significantly higher or lower than their two-game pace would indicate. Sometimes instant analysis doesn’t work; we will have to wait and see how things play out over the course of the season.
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